In more than three-quarters of elections held since the Second World War, the party leading in the polls 12 months out has held on to win 12 months later. That means the Liberals may face a “much tougher road to a majority government this time around” because many ridings that helped it win a majority last time “are less reliable now,” saidShachi Kurl, executive director of the Angus Reid Institute. Quebec election: Liberals are slipping in latest poll as war for nationalist votes rages Back to video Voter intentions Party most likely to vote for overall (after redistribution)
François Legault’s CAQ team is also down two percentage points, from 37 per cent in an August Léger poll to 35 per cent, but still within the range necessary to form a majority government with Legault as premier. To encourage thoughtful and respectful conversations, first and last names will appear with each submission to CBC/Radio-Canada's online communities (except in children and youth-oriented communities). Opinion polling for the 2018 Quebec general election. In 2013–2014, 65 per cent of Quebecers had a family doctor.
Comments are welcome while open. In Quebec, the NDP won nine of the 20 close Quebec races in 2015; the Liberals and Bloc each took five and the Conservatives managed to win one. “The debate will influence voters’ perceptions of the leaders, but then voters will focus on the coverage and try to figure out, ‘OK, so what exactly took place, do I agree or disagree with commentators.’ ”. Pseudonyms will no longer be permitted. It was easily the PQ's worst showing in a provincial election in 45 years. According to the CBC's Poll Tracker, an aggregation of all publicly available polling data, the Liberals lead with 37.3 per cent support nationwide, putting them four percentage points ahead of the Conservatives, who trail with 33.1 per cent. “Everything is still in play,” Bourque said. The party would also ban school teachers from wearing religious symbols. Quebec Polls; 338 Pollster Ratings; Methodology; 338 Sitemap; About 338; 2020 NHL Playoff Odds; Français; Welcome to 338Canada.com - Quebec! A guide to Wednesday's French-language leaders' debate on TVA, What each leader must do to win in Quebec, Once all but dead, Bloc Québécois is back on its feet, the first French-language debate on Wednesday evening, tap here to see other videos from our team.
Legault is the province's first centre-right premier since the Union Nationale left office in 1970.
The PQ’s gains, in this poll, came at the expense of the CAQ.
Get the latest numbers and analysis from Éric Grenier on where the Liberals, Conservatives, New Democrats, Greens and Bloc Québécois stand. But the historical record suggests we should not be surprised if the margin between the Liberals and Conservatives narrows.
“Apart from the Liberal drop, there’s not much movement,” said Sébastien Dallaire, managing director for Quebec at Ipsos. The poll shows the vote is still highly volatile, with 38 per cent saying they could change their mind, a statistic that puts more pressure on the four leaders as they head into the first of three televised debates this week. Box 500 Station A Toronto, ON Canada, M5W 1E6. The CAQ took a number of seats that had been in PQ hands for four decades or more, in some cases by landslide margins (for instance, Taillon).
Would ensure that 25 per cent of newcomers settle in rural communities. Another three per cent of Canadians say they would vote for another party — including the 1.4 per cent who say they will back Maxime Bernier's People's Party. Stay up-to-date with who is ahead in the polls in each country and on what Europe thinks and why. Couillard believes local police forces should decide whether women officers can wear the hijab. Which is where Justin Trudeau's Liberals find themselves with 365 days left before the 2019 federal election. He was the founder of ThreeHundredEight.com and has written for The Globe and Mail, Huffington Post Canada, The Hill Times, Le Devoir, and L’actualité. You need 63 seats to form a majority government. Day care would also be free for families with revenue under $34,000. And while the Liberals currently stand about two points below their popular vote share in the last election, the Conservatives sit about a point higher than they did in 2015. Believes citizens should be able to wear religious symbols and still access public services. If you don't see it please check your junk folder. Couillard is a well-known ardent federalist. Believes 50,000 immigrants is too much for Quebec to accept each year.
Advocates economic nationalism. "*" = Mainstreet does not mention "Other" nor any other party than the main four, but the total of the main four is 100%, (±1% because of sum of rounding errors).
Despite recent problems with its candidates, support for the PQ has crept up two points, to 21 per cent, while Québec solidaire’s share moved from eight to 11 per cent.
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